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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
J. SandersBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▼5.81/110.1
J. JacobsBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD-169as offered▲5.810/160.9
D. NealBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲4.62/90.2
H. SmothersBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+108as offered▼4.3
R. BrownBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+101as offered▼3.7
A. ManningBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+108as offered▼3.20/10.0
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMAnytime TD+925as offered▼2.43/130.2
O. D/STBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+600as offered▼2.4
M. EvansBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+950as offered▲1.82/140.1
J. SmallBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+400as offered▲1.8
R. MillerBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2450as offered▼1.61/40.3
C. Rodriguez Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+175as offered▲1.66/120.5
D. MartinezBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+750as offered▼1.6
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMFirst TD+2400as offered▼1.61/110.1
K. KieftBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+2200as offered▼1.5
J. SandersBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.51/110.1
F. Gore Jr.BoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼1.40/10.0
T. TrembleBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+450as offered▲1.42/160.1
E. DemercadoBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+663as offered▲1.41/110.1
K. GainwellBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+213as offered▼1.36/180.4
N. RobertsBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+500as offered▲1.30/10.0
C. KirkBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMFirst TD+4500as offered▼1.33/130.2
J. McLaughlinBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMAnytime TD+1900as offered▼1.31/100.1
J. SmithBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD-142as offered▼1.21/12.0
Z. CharbonnetBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMAnytime TD+115as offered▼1.110/170.7
C. Rodriguez Jr.BoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+800as offered▲1.16/120.5
M. TinsleyBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+800as offered▲1.12/80.3
G. DortchBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▲1.14/120.3
I. DavisBoardNYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+550as offered▲1.11/150.1
D. HermanBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+2500as offered▲1.1
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMFirst TD+1400as offered▼1.05/210.5
T. BurksBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMAnytime TD+650as offered▲1.01/80.1
C. YoungBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+340as offered▲1.0
R. WingoBoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+140as offered▼1.01/11.0
B. TutenBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMFirst TD+600as offered▲1.07/160.4
C. Henry Jr.BoardOSU at TEX · SAT 7:30 PMAnytime TD+305as offered▼0.91/11.0
D. WallerBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+380as offered▼0.94/80.8
K. JohnsonBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1000as offered▼0.91/50.2
C. BruhnBoardMIZ at KU · FRI 8:00 PMAnytime TD+360as offered▲0.90/10.0
N. Westbrook-IkhineBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMAnytime TD+1500as offered▼0.90/90.0
Showing 40 of 1,358· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.