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The Market

Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.

SNAPSHOT 2026-09-08 · CONSENSUS ACROSS BOOKS, DE-VIGGED · UPDATED EVERY 15 MIN
Game
PlayerGameMarketLinePriceImp%24hHitAvg
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O0.5+11943.3%▲1.77/151.1
M. StaffordBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U0.5-14956.7%▼1.77/151.1
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O2.5-11149.6%▼1.19/1012.9
P. NacuaBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U2.5-11550.4%▲1.19/1012.9
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U22.5-11449.9%▲0.95/534.6
K. MurrayBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O22.5-11550.1%▼0.95/534.6
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O9.5-10548.4%▼0.82/811.6
J. HillBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U9.5-12051.6%▲0.82/811.6
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U19.5-12050.8%▲0.716/2147.0
T. HendersonBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O19.5-11249.2%▼0.716/2147.0
R. ShaheedBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O2.5-11950.7%▲0.76/109.1
R. ShaheedBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U2.5-11249.3%▼0.76/109.1
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U10.5-11049.3%▼0.75/1312.6
D. JonesBoardBAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O10.5-11650.7%▲0.75/1312.6
T. ShoughBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U16.5-11450.0%▼0.55/1018.6
T. ShoughBoardNO at DET · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O16.5-11450.0%▲0.55/1018.6
K. GainwellBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O21.5-11049.5%▼0.58/1732.8
K. GainwellBoardTB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U21.5-11550.5%▲0.58/1732.8
A. RodgersBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O0.5-11049.5%▼0.59/134.7
A. RodgersBoardATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U0.5-11650.5%▲0.59/134.7
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O17.5-11049.2%▼0.410/1821.7
T. LawrenceBoardCLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U17.5-11850.8%▲0.410/1821.7
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds U5.5-11249.8%▼0.37/147.8
S. DarnoldBoardNE at SEA · WED 8:20 PMRush yds O5.5-11450.2%▲0.37/147.8
J. Croskey-MerrittBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O40.5-11550.3%▲0.36/1747.4
J. Croskey-MerrittBoardWSH at PHI · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U40.5-11249.7%▼0.36/1747.4
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds O46.5-11550.3%▲0.39/2043.3
B. CorumBoardSF at LAR · THU 8:35 PMRush yds U46.5-11249.7%▼0.39/2043.3
C. StroudBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O10.5-11249.7%▲0.39/1613.8
C. StroudBoardBUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U10.5-11550.3%▼0.39/1613.8
R. HarveyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds O18.5-11249.7%▲0.312/1931.4
R. HarveyBoardDEN at KC · MON 8:15 PMRush yds U18.5-11550.3%▼0.312/1931.4
M. LloydBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U48.5-11450.1%▲0.30/115.0
M. LloydBoardGB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O48.5-11349.9%▼0.30/115.0
O. HamptonBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O66.5-11450.3%▲0.23/1054.4
O. HamptonBoardARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U66.5-11249.7%▼0.23/1054.4
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds O67-11450.1%▼0.29/1684.4
D. AchaneBoardMIA at LV · SUN 4:25 PMRush yds U67-11449.9%▲0.29/1684.4
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds U14.5-11450.2%▲0.27/1714.1
B. YoungBoardCHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PMRush yds O14.5-11249.8%▼0.27/1714.1
Showing 40 of 174· HIT is games clearing today's line (season) · AVG is per game · as-offered prices are not de-vigged · unlinked players and first/last scorer markets carry no stats - our gap, not theirs. Not a pick. Not a recommendation.

Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.