
Where the market is actually pricing games, and how that has changed. Not a pick. Not a recommendation. A record of what the books are doing.
| Player | Game | Market | Line | Price | Imp% | 24h▼ | Hit | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -200 | 62.4% | ▲25.1 | 5/8 | 2.1 |
| J. BurrowBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +149 | 37.6% | ▼25.1 | 5/8 | 2.1 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +190 | 32.6% | ▼17.8 | 5/15 | 1.3 |
| G. SmithBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -250 | 67.4% | ▲17.8 | 5/15 | 1.3 |
| D. JonesBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -159 | 57.7% | ▼2.1 | 6/13 | 1.5 |
| D. JonesBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +122 | 42.3% | ▲2.1 | 6/13 | 1.5 |
| C. WardBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +165 | 35.5% | ▲1.4 | 4/17 | 0.9 |
| C. WardBoard | NYJ at TEN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -220 | 64.5% | ▼1.4 | 4/17 | 0.9 |
| L. JacksonBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -135 | 53.8% | ▲1.3 | 6/13 | 1.6 |
| L. JacksonBoard | BAL at IND · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +102 | 46.2% | ▼1.3 | 6/13 | 1.6 |
| B. NixBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +136 | 39.7% | ▲1.2 | 7/18 | 1.6 |
| B. NixBoard | DEN at KC · MON 8:15 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -180 | 60.3% | ▼1.2 | 7/18 | 1.6 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -200 | 62.6% | ▼1.1 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +151 | 37.4% | ▲1.1 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| T. TagovailoaBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1 | +118 | 48.6% | ▼1.0 | 7/14 | 1.4 |
| T. TagovailoaBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1 | +107 | 51.4% | ▲1.0 | 7/14 | 1.4 |
| B. YoungBoard | CHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +111 | 44.4% | ▲0.8 | 7/17 | 1.4 |
| B. YoungBoard | CHI at CAR · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -146 | 55.6% | ▼0.8 | 7/17 | 1.4 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -200 | 62.5% | ▲0.8 | 10/17 | 2.0 |
| J. GoffBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | +150 | 37.5% | ▼0.8 | 10/17 | 2.0 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +130 | 40.8% | ▼0.6 | 5/12 | 1.3 |
| J. DartBoard | DAL at NYG · SUN 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -169 | 59.2% | ▲0.6 | 5/12 | 1.3 |
| T. LawrenceBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -108 | 48.7% | ▲0.5 | 9/18 | 1.8 |
| T. LawrenceBoard | CLE at JAX · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -120 | 51.3% | ▼0.5 | 9/18 | 1.8 |
| J. LoveBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +102 | 46.6% | ▲0.4 | 8/16 | 1.7 |
| J. LoveBoard | GB at MIN · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -132 | 53.4% | ▼0.4 | 8/16 | 1.7 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +130 | 41.0% | ▲0.4 | 13/21 | 1.8 |
| D. MayeBoard | NE at SEA · WED 8:20 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -168 | 59.0% | ▼0.4 | 13/21 | 1.8 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +124 | 42.0% | ▲0.4 | 3/11 | 0.9 |
| T. ShoughBoard | NO at DET · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -161 | 58.0% | ▼0.4 | 3/11 | 0.9 |
| A. RodgersBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +118 | 42.9% | ▲0.3 | 6/17 | 1.4 |
| A. RodgersBoard | ATL at PIT · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -156 | 57.1% | ▼0.3 | 6/17 | 1.4 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -156 | 57.3% | ▼0.3 | 5/16 | 1.3 |
| C. StroudBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +120 | 42.7% | ▲0.3 | 5/16 | 1.3 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds O | 237.5 | -114 | 50.2% | ▲0.3 | 7/17 | 228.6 |
| J. HerbertBoard | ARI at LAC · SUN 4:25 PM | Pass yds U | 237.5 | -112 | 49.8% | ▼0.3 | 7/17 | 228.6 |
| B. MayfieldBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -120 | 51.1% | ▲0.3 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| B. MayfieldBoard | TB at CIN · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | -110 | 48.9% | ▼0.3 | 8/17 | 1.5 |
| J. AllenBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs O | 1.5 | +152 | 37.2% | ▲0.2 | 10/18 | 1.6 |
| J. AllenBoard | BUF at HOU · SUN 1:00 PM | Pass TDs U | 1.5 | -202 | 62.8% | ▼0.2 | 10/18 | 1.6 |
Consensus is the median price across the books we read, with the overround removed so the outcomes of a market sum to 100%. Movement is the change in de-vigged probability against a baseline stamped once a day. A dash means no baseline yet, which is not the same as no movement. No picks, no units, no sportsbook links.